the norm of non-intervention on which it continues to be based is
simply too great for the legality of unilateral preventive action, as dis-
tinct from collectively endorsed action, to be accepted. Allowing one to
so act is to allow all.
30
To assist the Council in its deliberations, the panel proposed adopting the
following five criteria of legitimacy in deciding whether to authorise the use of
force: seriousness of threat, proper purpose, last resort, proportional means, and
balance of consequences. These five guidelines closely mirror those set out in
the 2001 report, The Responsibility to Protect, produced by the Canadian-
sponsored International Commission on Intervention and State Sovereignty. But
even if it proves possible to secure a consensus at the UN on these substantive
criteria, which derive heavily from traditional just-war thinking, the HLP
ignores the troubling issue of what should happen if the Council fails to agree
that the criteria have been met in a particular case.
The HLP considers that if a consensus cannot be secured in the Council over
whether to use force preventively, there is “time” to pursue other strategies, such
as diplomacy and deterrence. This was certainly the view of most states on the
Security Council when confronted with US and UK requests for authority to use
force against Iraq in 2002–3. Led by France and Russia, the majority position in
the Council was that Iraq’s development of WMD did not constitute a threat that
warranted forcible regime change. It was agreed that Iraq was in violation of a raft
of Security Council resolutions demanding disarmament of its WMD that dated
back to 1991. However, rather than employ the military instrument to neutralize
this threat, most members looked to Hans Blix, and his team of UN weapons
inspectors, to contain the danger. Under Resolution 1441, adopted unanimously on
November 8, 2002, Blix was required to report back to the Council on whether
Iraq was in “material breach” of said resolution, which had given Iraq “a final
opportunity to comply” with its disarmament obligations under successive Council
resolutions.
31
Had Blix in his reports to the Council on January 27, February 14,
and March 7, 2003, found incontrovertible evidence of Iraq’s development of
WMD, this would have significantly changed the dynamics in the Council in favor
of a new UN resolution authorizing the use of force. Instead, it was evident that
had the United States and United Kingdom (and Spain and Bulgaria, which sup-
ported the Anglo-American position) tabled such a resolution, this would have
failed to secure the necessary nine votes, leaving aside the issue as to whether
France and Russia would have vetoed it. But the majority view in the Council that
the diplomatic track had not been sufficiently tested ran up against the bedrock US
position that this could not be relied upon to disarm Iraq effectively.
The Bush administration was convinced that the regime of Saddam Hussein
clearly met its criteria for justifying preventive military action, namely a history
of aggression, support for terrorism, and brutal treatment of its citizens. The
logic of “regime profiling” of this kind is that there can be no lasting accommo-
dation between the United States and regimes like Iraq’s that seek to develop
PREEMPTION AND EXCEPTION
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