366 Response of glaciers to changes in mass balance
glacier. Thus, the propagation and diffusion processes control the way in
which the profile adjusts to the new mass balance conditions. In addition,
the total time required for the adjustment depends on the volume of ice
that must be gained or lost in order to reach a new steady state. Thus,
years can elapse before the terminus gets the message that something has
happened higher on the glacier, and decades may pass before it adjusts
to the changes.
Positive feedback processes
Before proceeding, it is appropriate to mention some feedback processes
that can influence the way in which a polar glacier adjusts to climatic
change, but which we will not consider in detail. One process, discussed
by Lliboutry (1970), results from the fact that a change in temperature
has not only an immediate effect on the mass balance, but also a delayed
effect on the flow, owing to the temperature dependence of the flow law.
Forexample, an increase in temperature may increase ablation and thus
decrease the annual net balance. The decrease in net balance causes the
glacier to thin. Then, as the temperature change gradually penetrates
into the glacier, the flow rate increases. As this increases the mass flux to
the terminus relative to the input of ice upglacier, this results in further
thinning. The decrease in thickness, a combined effect of the changes in
mass balance and temperature, leads to further warming of the glacier
surface, the boundary condition, owing to the increase in temperature
with decreasing elevation.
It is well to keep in mind, however, that if the climate is sufficiently
cold, increases in temperature may actually increase the winter balance,
as the atmosphere is then able to hold more moisture in the vapor state.
Forexample, studies of the volume of air in bubbles in a core from Byrd
Station on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet suggest that as the Pleistocene
gave way to the Holocene, the ice sheet there became ∼250 m thicker
(Raynaud and Whillans, 1982). This change is inferred to have been a
result of an increase in precipitation as the climate warmed. Eventually,
however, as the warm wave penetrated deeper and the flow rate increased,
the ice sheet began to thin (Alley and Whillans, 1991). Thus in this case,
the processes did not reinforce one another. Measurements of strain rate
and mass balance along a 160 km strain network upglacier from Byrd
Station suggest that the thinning is continuing today (Whillans, 1977).
Superimposed on these positive feedback loops in large ice masses
is yet another delayed response, that of the Earth’s crust to the additional
ice load. As the crust is depressed isostatically, the surface elevation of
the ice sheet is lowered resulting in warming and possibly initiating a
positive feedback as just discussed. In some areas the bed may become