
Matrices
498
We conclude this section by introducing foreign trade into our model. In all of our previous
macroeconomic models we have implicitly assumed that the behaviour of different countries
has no effect on the national income of the other countries. In reality this is clearly not the case
and we now investigate how the economies of trading nations interact. To simplify the situ-
ation we shall ignore all government activity and suppose that there are just two countries,
labelled 1 and 2, trading with each other but not with any other country. We shall use an obvi-
ous subscript notation so that Y
1
denotes the national income of country 1, C
2
denotes the con-
sumption of country 2 and so on. In the absence of government activity the equation defining
equilibrium in country i is
Y
i
= C
i
+ I
i
+ X
i
− M
i
where I
i
is the investment of country i, X
i
is the exports of country i and M
i
is the imports
of country i. As usual, we shall assume that I
i
is determined exogenously and takes a known
value I *
i
.
Given that there are only two countries, which trade between themselves, the exports of one
country must be the same as the imports of the other. In symbols we write
X
1
= M
2
and X
2
= M
1
We shall assume that imports are a fraction of national income, so that
M
i
= m
i
Y
i
where the marginal propensity to import, m
i
, satisfies 0 < m
i
< 1.
Once expressions for C
i
and M
i
are given, we can derive a system of two simultaneous
equations for the two unknowns, Y
1
and Y
2
, which can be solved either by using Cramer’s rule
or by using matrix inverses.
Example
The equations defining a model of two trading nations are given by
Y
1
= C
1
+ I*
1
+ X
1
− M
1
Y
2
= C
2
+ I*
2
+ X
2
− M
2
C
1
= 0.8Y
1
+ 200 C
2
= 0.9Y
2
+ 100
M
1
= 0.2Y
1
M
2
= 0.1Y
2
Express this system in matrix form and hence write Y
1
in terms of I*
1
and I *
2
.
Write down the multiplier for Y
1
due to changes in I*
2
and hence describe the effect on the national
income of country 1 due to changes in the investment in country 2.
Solution
In this problem there are six equations for six endogenous variables, Y
1
, C
1
, M
1
and Y
2
, C
2
, M
2
. However,
rather than working with a 6 × 6 matrix, we perform some preliminary algebra to reduce it to only two equa-
tions in two unknowns. To do this we substitute the expressions for C
1
and M
1
into the first equation to get
Y
1
= 0.8Y
1
+ 200 + I*
1
+ X
1
− 0.2Y
1
Also, since X
1
= M
2
= 0.1Y
2
, this becomes
Y
1
= 0.8Y
1
+ 200 + I*
1
+ 0.1Y
2
− 0.2Y
1
which rearranges as
0.4Y
1
− 0.1Y
2
= 200 + I*
1
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