tionships among formal and informal authorities, fighters, and resources such as
small arms. Groups that successfully control followers discipline those
members, and in turn shape members’ motivations. This phenomenon suggests
an underlying factor that conventional investigations of motives, or an exclusive
focus on small arms as causes of illegitimate violence, may obscure. Young men
who mined diamonds in one part of Sierra Leone did use guns to prey upon local
communities, while others in similar circumstances joined home guard units to
protect local communities. Clan-based northern Somalia is much more peaceful
than clan-based southern Somalia. Young men from Dagestan and the Ingush
Autonomous Republic do not join their Chechen neighbors in battle. Individual
motivations matter less than the social structures into which individuals were
recruited and in which they are disciplined.
Coercion, violence, and collapsing states
The UN’s Resolution 1514 of 1960, the Declaration on the Granting of
Independence to Colonial Countries and Peoples, ensures global recognition of
sovereignty of former colonies regardless of “inadequacy of political, economic,
social or educational preparedness,” or of internal administrative coherence or
capabilities.
14
This guarantee of global recognition of sovereignty created what
Robert Jackson called “quasi-states” with governments “deficient in the political
will, institutional authority, and organized power to protect human rights or
provide socio-economic welfare.”
15
Opposition groups might thus hijack effect-
ive state agencies and launch their own bids for power.
16
More than two-thirds
of African countries have experienced violent transitions of government, despite
recent political reforms.
17
Elections played important roles in sparking violence
in Congo-Brazzaville, Nigeria, Tanzania, Guinea-Bissau, and Côte d’Ivoire.
Rulers facing such threats preemptively disrupt power bases of potential com-
petitors, even if this means undermining institutions. Thus rulers replaced
bureaucracies with sprawling patronage networks under their personal control.
This also hindered the development of autonomous nonstate social organi-
zations, as patronage networks moved into commercial, religious, and youth
politics and other realms.
Rulers who weakened their own states found an alternative means to exercise
power through dominating the distribution of economic opportunities. At first
this involved manipulating economic regulations and distributing state assets to
political allies, including people who could mobilize force on behalf of the
regime. The predictable result was that formal economies and state revenues
shrank. Then politicians extended their economic activities to clandestine
markets. State power, backed by private militias, remained viable in this context,
since the capacity to declare activities illegal, then sell exemption from prosecu-
tion, enabled political favorites to accumulate wealth while giving the political
boss the means to punish opponents. A striking feature of states such as Congo,
Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Nigeria is the extent to which control of clandestine
SMALL ARMS
47