10.2 The Shallow Ice Approximation 653
and the flow becomes an extensional flow as X →∞. It follows from integration
of the continuity equation between B and S that the ice flux to the ice shelf, q
I
,is
given by
q
I
=q
G
+˙x
G
B
G
. (10.173)
The top surface is defined by
S =(Π +T
1
)|
Z=0
, (10.174)
and uncouples from the rest of the problem. The extra condition on Z =B, X > 0
in (10.166) should determine B providing ˙x
G
is known. This is the basic conundrum
of the grounding line determination, since there appears to be no extra condition to
determine ˙x
G
.
The resolution of this difficulty has not yet been finally achieved. One might won-
der whether there is an extra condition hiding in the matching conditions (10.168)
or (10.171), but it appears not: the conditions on T
3
and W as X →−∞imply
the pressure gradient condition, while the condition on U as X →∞implies the
other three. It seems that the answer lies in the additional posing of contact condi-
tions. Specifically, for the solution in the transition region to have physical sense,
we require that the effective normal stress downwards, −σ
33
−p
w
, be positive on
the grounded base, and we require the ice/water interface to be above the submarine
land surface on the floating shelf base. When written in the current scaled coordi-
nates, these conditions become
B +Π +T
1
> 0,X<0,
B>B
G
,X>0.
(10.175)
In addition, we may add to these the condition that at the grounding line, the effec-
tive normal stress is zero, whence
B +Π +T
1
=0atX =0. (10.176)
Numerical solutions appear to be consistent with the idea that, for any given ˙x
G
,
there is a unique value of Λ such that the contact conditions (10.175) and (10.176)
are satisfied. If this is true, then (10.162) determines the ice sheet flux q
G
at the
grounding line as a function of x
G
(through B
G
) and ˙x
G
, and this provides the extra
condition (as well as s →b as x → x
G
−) for the determination of the grounding
line position.
10.2.8 Marine Ice Sheet Instability
Much of the interest concerning grounding line motion concerns the possible insta-
bility of marine ice sheets. A marine ice sheet is one whose base is below sea level;
the major example in the present day is the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Marine ice
sheets terminate at grounding lines, from which ice shelves protrude. Depending
on the slope of the submarine surface, they can be susceptible to instability, and it