
Coleridge's
Apples
in sequence! For
a
derivation of this sirnple
formula, and the use of Stirling's formula
to approximate the probal~ility when very
large
rlurl~bers
of
fractions must bc multi-
plied, see
Chillle~igil~g
Mcltl~emc~tical Proh-
lems
with
Elen~erttclr!~ Solrltiot~s,
Vol.
I,
by
the Russia11 twin l~rothcrs
A.
M.
ant1
I.
M.
Yaglom.
(Tt is No.
78
in the English
translation
by
Jarncs
h/lcCawlcy, Jr.; San
Francisco: Holden-Day,
1064.)
Waldean Schulz iilcluded the following
additional twist to this
prol~lem in
a
paper
titled "Brain Teasers and Information The-
ory" that he wrote for
a
l~l~ilosoph~i class
at the
Urliversity of Colorado taught
by
Ilavid
Hawkins. Suppose you are the second
player. How can you join the lower
ends
in such
a
way that yo11 can ask
:I
singlc yes-
no cluestion which, if ar~sweretl by the first
player, will tell
you if you woil or lost?
The
answer is to join the two outside
lines,
the two next-to-outside lines, an(!
thc two middle lines. The question
is:
Ilid
you connect the upper ends
in
a
bilaterally
syrl~inetric way?
A
yes answer means you
lost,
a
no answer nlealls there is
a
single
loop ancl you win. It is surprising that one
"bit"
of
infornlution is sufficient
to
distill-
gnish between winning and losing patterns.
The Mudville teain could llavc. scored
as
few
as
no runs at all even though (hsey,
the lead-off man, cane to bat every i~ining.
In the first irlrling Casey and the next two
batters walk
and the r~cxt thi-ee strikle o11t.
In the second inning the
first
three inerr
walk
gain,
which brings Cnstty back to bat.
But each runner is culight
off
base by the
pitcher, so Casey is back at the plate at
the start of
tlie third inning. This pattern
is now
repeated until the game ends wit11
no joy in Ml~tlville, cvcr~ t11011gh tllc mighty
Casey never once strikes out.
There are, of course, marly other ways
the game coulcl
he played. Robert Kaplan,
Cambridge, h,lnssachnsetts, wrote the fol-
lowing letter:
Dear Mr. Garchler:
That was indeed
an
amusing prohlcn~ con-
ccriling Casey ancl tht. hludville rririe-a~~~l~sing,
that is, to
a11
save lovers of hluclville. For on
tlre u~iforturrate day described in your ~~roblem,
Mlrdvillc scored rrot
a
rlllJ. Tlris is what Imp-
penetl:
In the first inning, Casey anti two of his corl-
freres re~ched base, I~ut l~ntters four thro~rgh
six struck, fliccl, or othcrwisc lnade out.
No
runs.
In the secontl inning, I~atters sevcn and cight
struck out, let us say, but tlir h~lndville pitcher,
to the
sl~rprise of ;ill, reacl-led bast.
on
a
bob1,led
inficld roller. Casey c;lmc
up
to bat, frowning
mightily. With
tlre coulit two
ant1
two, tlie per-
fidious rival
pitcher, igr~orir~g the best interests
of poetry, l)asel~all mythology and hludville,
whirled toward first
and
picked off his opposite
number,
who, clrea~ning
of
Cooperstow~r arid
the
Elall
of
Fame, had strolled too far from the
I~ag. The crowd sighed, (:;isey glocvcrcd, ancl
the inning was over:
no
runs.
Now as you k~~ow, if
an
inning ends wit11
a
pick-off play
at
any
ljase, the ljatter wl~o was in
thc box at the tirrie I~ecorries the first batter next
inning.
So
it
was
with Casey; once again h111d-
ville loaded the I~ases; but once again three onts
were nrade wit11 rro rllils scoring, so that thc
inning eildecl with hatter six rnaking thc last out.