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is a weak structure based on consultation. However, in spite of the principle of non-
intervention, something new is currently happening. Dialogue with the growing
(and often feared) neighbour, China, seems to be improving. The management
of this relationship to the potentially regional hegemon, the People’s Republic of
China, within a multilateral framework, despite its current economic transition,
its nationalistic tendencies and its internal uncertainty, is a crucial issue for the
regional security agenda. That is why the achievements of the Bangkok Summit
of 1994 and the consequent meeting of heads of states were so important in terms
of establishing confidence-building measures, preventive diplomacy, and peaceful
conflict settlement. Furthermore, the normalization process with Vietnam and the
renouncement by the ASEAN countries and China of the use of force as a means
of addressing conflicts over territory and natural resources with regard to territorial
problems and the natural resources of the Southern Chinese Sea, were important
steps forward. The relationship with China and the ability to settle quarrels – a
very sensitive issue in South-East Asia – are crucial for ASEAN as a regional
peacekeeping organization. ASEAN member states decided, as a consequence of
the harsh financial crisis, to drastically reduce their military budgets and defence
programmes. The success of the ARF is particularly commendable because, for the
first time in Asian–Pacific history, the economic and political competitive influence
of both China and Japan is increasing simultaneously. The influence of the USA in
the region is still crucial in order to push free trade, establish military cooperation,
and campaign for democratization and the rule of law. However, the role of the
USA in the region is likely to decline, if not as an economic power, at least as
the ‘first range’ hegemonic power, at least in a scientific understanding (O’Brien/
Clesse, 2002 and Keohane, 1984/2004).
The Hanoi Summit of 1998 was a relevant attempt of change regarding the
internal obstacles to deeper integration (heterogeneity, non-intervention principle).
With reference to Cambodia (traditionally a difficult issue for ASEAN in spite
of its participation to the Paris Agreement of 1991), the enlargement had been
postponed to 1999, because of the coup d’etat by Hun Sen and the divergent
points of view between ASEAN countries. The return of Vietnam to regional
cooperation after many years of low-profile foreign policy was a success. Not only
was there increasing interference during the two main political crises of 1998/99
in Indonesia and Malaysia, but also Thailand and other MS openly proposed, on
several occasions, a ‘strengthened interaction’ going beyond the principle of non-
interference, which was typical of the Suharto era. Deeper integration and stronger
institutional cooperation have been conditioned by the very heterogeneity and
pre-democratic nature of almost all of the national regimes during the previous
decades. This explains oscillations as far as democratization is concerned. ASEAN
was, for instance, supporting Corazon Aquino’s campaign in 1987, criticizing Hun
Sen’s coup d’état in Cambodia, and is pressing the Myanmar junta. However, in
spite of the paradoxical post-crisis democratization wave (Indonesia, Philippines),
new regionalism does not yet entail generalized domestic democratization (as
shown also by the coup d’etat of 2006 in Thailand). The weight of a very diverse
colonial and neocolonial past, the legacy of the Cold War, the cultural, religious,
and linguistic diversity, the unique relation between state and society, are together