chapter 5 statistical Mechanics 77
molecules could be in each of the five energy states. These are just three pos-
sible ways the molecules can be distributed among the energy states defined in
our model. The total energy of the system is of course equal to the sum of the
energy of each of the molecules. If all of the molecules are in the highest energy
state then the system has the most energy that it can have. If all of the mole-
cules are in the lowest energy state then the system has the least amount of
energy that it can have. In between, depending on the total amount of energy
in the system, there may be various ways to distribute the molecules among the
energy levels so that the sum of their energies is still equal to the total energy
of the system.
Once we have calculated all of the possible ways to distribute the molecules
among the defined energy levels, we determine which of those distributions are
most likely to occur. We do this using the mathematics of probability and statis-
tics. From the distribution of energy, and the probability of each molecule being
in a given energy state, we can calculate the expected value of various thermody-
namic quantities. For example we could calculate the temperature of the system,
or the average enthalpy change for binding an oxygen molecule. If this calculated
value matches our experimental result, then we can say that our model is consis-
tent with the data. If the calculated values do not match our experimental results,
then our molecular interpretation is wrong and we have to come up with some
other model or interpretation of what the molecules are doing.
Notice that when our model is not able to predict experimental results, this
is a stronger level of proof than the case when our model is able to predict
experimental results. When a model does not match experimental results, we
can easily say that the model is wrong. But if our model is able to predict
experimental results, we can’t say our model is proven to be correct. It is always
possible that other models, other molecular interpretations, may also be able to
predict the experimental results. So at best we can only say that the model is
consistent with the data.
Over time, if we continually design and carry out experiments striving to
prove our model wrong, and those experiments fail again and again to disprove
the model, then we gain confidence that our model is correct.
Sometimes a particular model can also imply results from nonthermodynamic
experiments, for example, from spectroscopic or chemical studies. If such results
are also consistent with the model, this further lends credence to our model being
a correct interpretation of the system at a molecular level. Table 5-1 summarizes
what we can conclude from experiments depending on whether or not the
model’s predictions are consistent with the experimental results.