80 / Towards ‘The Sceptre of the World’
press, he took a fatalistic view of public opinion. ‘I once told Salis-
bury’, wrote the German ambassador, ‘that it seemed to be the Govern-
ment’s duty to lead public opinion. He replied that this was harder than
I appeared to realise.’
47
Whatever his reservations about the methods
and mentality of the private imperialists, he had little choice but to press
on behalf of their claims. He mixed the careful palliation of Germany
(exchanging Heligoland for Zanzibar) with the brutal coercion of Por-
tugal (both in 1890). Portugal’s claims in what is now Zimbabwe were
dismissed with a growl – in favour of Rhodes. The contest with France,
which had greater strength on the spot and, after 1892, an alliance with
Russia, required much more finesse. Salisbury could not afford to let the
French officiers soudanais and their ragtag black army hem in British
interests on the West African coast and deny them their hinterland;
or risk an armed struggle between them and Goldie’s pale imitation
of the East India Company (Salisbury was scornful of Goldie’s Clive-
like pretensions). Nor could he permit a French forward move into the
southern Sudan, in case their arrival coincided with the expected col-
lapse of the Mahdist regime in Khartoum. A French-ruled Sudan would
have wrecked Cromer in Egypt. In the West African case, despite much
bad-tempered diplomacy and some sabre-rattling in the bush, Salisbury
largely achieved the partition he wanted. In the Sudan, his victory was
much more complete. There Kitchener’s (Anglo-Egyptian) army, with
its light railways and steam launches, decisively smashed the Mahdist
regime and captured Khartoum (in September 1898). With Marchand’s
tiny force at Fashoda hugely outnumbered, and the Royal Navy assem-
bling in the English Channel, Paris abandoned its claim to the Upper
Nile Valley.
Salisbury’s triumph had been three-fold. He had secured
Britain’s position in Egypt, the strategic hinge of Anglo-Indian defence,
without drawing down on his head a continental coalition. The price
he had paid in African claims had been surprisingly light, guarding his
flank against an outcry at home. Above all, he had avoided the diplo-
matic and military setbacks that dogged Disraeli and Gladstone and
threatened electoral disaster. But, by the late 1890s, for all his success
at Fashoda, it was no longer so clear that his deft combination of British
strength on the ground, with an agile diplomacy and Britain’s naval
deterrent could protect British interests against the threat of attrition.
The main reason for this was the sudden emergence of a new
epicentre of extra-European upheaval. China’s shattering defeat by
Japan in 1895 signalled a political bankruptcy as complete as that of