under conditions of semi-prohibition, moonshine
took the place of state-manufactured vodka. Since
the launch of perestroika had also coincided with a
drop in the world oil price, this was a loss of rev-
enue the state and its political leadership could not
afford.
Gorbachev had, early in his general secretary-
ship, been ready to contemplate market elements
within the Soviet economy. By 1989–1990 he had
increasingly come to believe that market forces
should be the main engine of growth. Nevertheless,
he favored what he first called a “socialist market
economy” and later a “regulated market.” He was
criticized by market fundamentalists for using the
latter term, which they saw as an oxymoron. Al-
though by 1993 Yegor Gaidar, a firm supporter of
the market, was observing that “throughout the
world the market is regulated.” Gorbachev initially
endorsed, and then retreated from, a radical but (as
its proponents were later to admit) unrealistic pol-
icy of moving the Soviet Union to a market econ-
omy within five hundred days. The Five-Hundred-
Day Plan was drawn up by a group of economists,
chosen in equal numbers by Gorbachev and Boris
Yeltsin (the latter by this time a major player in
Soviet and Russian politics), during the summer of
1990. In setting up the working group, in consul-
tation with Yeltsin, Gorbachev completely bypassed
the Communist Party. He had been elected presi-
dent of the Soviet Union by the Congress of Peo-
ple’s Deputies of the USSR in March 1990 and was
increasingly relying on his authority in that role.
However, the presidency did not have the institu-
tional underpinning that the party apparatus had
provided for a General Secretary—until Gorbachev
consciously loosened the rungs of the ladder on
which he had climbed to the top. Ultimately, in the
face of strong opposition from state and party au-
thorities attempting to move to the market in a gi-
ant leap, Gorbachev sought a compromise between
the views of the market enthusiasts, led by Stani-
slav Shatalin and Grigory Yavlinsky, and those of
the chairman of the Council of Ministers and his
principal economic adviser, Leonid Abalkin.
Because radical democrats tended also to be in
favor of speedy marketization, Gorbachev’s hesita-
tion meant that he lost support in that con-
stituency. People who had seen Gorbachev as the
embodiment and driving force of change in and of
the Soviet system increasingly in 1990–1991 trans-
ferred their support to Yeltsin, who in June 1991
was elected president of Russia in a convincing first-
round victory. Since he had been directly elected,
and Gorbachev indirectly, this gave Yeltsin a greater
democratic legitimacy in the eyes of a majority of
citizens, even though the very fact that contested
elections had been introduced into the Soviet sys-
tem was Gorbachev’s doing. If Gorbachev had taken
the risk of calling a general election for the presi-
dency of the Soviet Union a year earlier, rather than
taking the safer route of election by the existing
legislature, he might have enhanced his popular le-
gitimacy, extended his own period in office, and ex-
tended the life of the Soviet Union (although, to
the extent that it was democratic, it would have
been a smaller union, with the Baltic states as the
prime candidates for early exit). In March 1990,
the point at which he became Soviet president, Gor-
bachev was still ahead of Yeltsin in the opinion
polls of the most reliable of survey research insti-
tutes, the All-Union (subsequently All-Russian)
Center for the Study of Public Opinion. It was dur-
ing the early summer of that year that Yeltsin
moved ahead of him.
By positing the interests of Russia against those
of the Union, Yeltsin played a major role in mak-
ing the continuation of a smaller Soviet Union an
impossibility. By first liberalizing and then democ-
ratizing, Gorbachev had taken the lid off the na-
tionalities problem. Almost every nation in the
country had a long list of grievances and, when
East European countries achieved full independence
during the course of 1989, this emboldened a num-
ber of the Soviet nationalities to demand no less.
Gorbachev, by this time, was committed to turn-
ing the Soviet system into something different—
indeed, he was well advanced in the task of dis-
mantling the traditional Soviet edifice—but he
strove to keep together a multinational union by
attempting to turn a pseudo-federal system into a
genuine federation or, as a last resort, a looser con-
federation.
Gorbachev’s major failures were unable to
prevent disintegration of the union and not im-
proving economic performance. However, since
everything was interconnected in the Soviet Union,
it was impossible to introduce political change
without raising national consciousness and, in
some cases, separatist aspirations. If the disinte-
gration of the Soviet Union is compared with the
breakup of Yugoslavia, what is remarkable is the
extent to which the Soviet state gave way to fif-
teen successor states with very little bloodshed. It
was also impossible to move smoothly from an
economic system based over many decades on one
set of principles (a centralized, command economy)
GORBACHEV, MIKHAIL SERGEYEVICH
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