theSovietUnion.AnsweringquestionsinParliament,SwaranSinghsaid:“We
cannotlookuponit[aSino‐USrapproche ment]withequanimityifitmeans
dominationofthetwocountriesoverthisregion…Wecannotatpresenttotally
ruleoutsuchapossibility…[and]forsometimewehavebeenconsideringways
andmeansofpreventingsucha situationfromarising.”Inareferencetothe
SovietUnion,Singhcontinued:“Inthiswearenotalone.Thereareother
countriesbothbigandsmallwhomaybemoreperturbedthanweare.”
WhatSinghhadinmindbecamepubliconAugust9whenIndiaandthe
SovietUnionsignedaFriendshipTreaty,whichforallpracticalpurposesgave
IndiaaSovietguaranteeagainstChineseinterventionifIndiawenttowarwith
Pakistan.BythisactiontheSovietUniondeliberatelyopenedthedoortowaron
thesubcontinent;itwasthefirstofaseriesofmovesthroughouttheSeventies
wherebytheSovietsfueledconflictsbygivingarmsandassurancestocountries
withhighincentivetoresorttoforce.I agreedwithHalSonnenfeldt’sandBill
Hyland’sperceptiveanalysis:
Theescalatoryaspectsofthisareobvious:iftheChinesecomeunderpressurefrom
PakistantocountertheSovietmove,whatwilltheydo?IftheydonothingtheSovietshave
madeanimportantgain—certainlyoneoftheirobjectivesistoexposetheChineseasweak
allies.If,ontheotherhand,theChineseraisetheante,thentheSovietsmustalsorespondto
maintaintheircredibility,acredibilitywhichwouldhavetobebackedwithatleastmore
sophisticatedSovietweaponry,etc…
Thus,theIndia‐PakistanconflictbecomesasortofSino‐Sovietclashbyproxy.
SonnenfeldtandHylandalsopredictedthattheSovietsmightseekto
humiliateRomania,whichhadbeenafriendofChina.Infact,theSovietsbeganto
wageawarofnervesagainstthatcountryinlatesummer.Weprotested
vigorouslyandmayhavehelpedbringanendtotheharassment.
TheonlywaytoprotectthetendershootofourChinapolicyfrombeing
crushedbythiscombinationofSovietembraceandmenacewastomakesure
Pekingunderstoodouractions.Weaccordinglyincreasedourcontactswiththe
ChinesethroughParis.BetweenAugust1andtheendofSeptemberwe
exchangedmoremessagesthanwehadintheprevioustwentyyears.Iusedmy
visitstoParisforsecretnegotiationswithLeDucThoto meet,alsosecretly,three
timeswithAmbassadorHuangChen.Anable,affableveteranoftheLongMarch,
HuangChenlaterbecamethefirstChiefoftheChineseLiaisonOfficein