
[battle]ships fire a projectile weighing 2,100 pounds to a distance of twenty
sea miles [40,000 yards]. At 19,000 yards no armor afloat will withstand a
normal hit from these guns. While it takes 28 seconds for an airplane bomb
to reach the target, 12,000 feet beneath it, the 16-inch projectile fired from
a gun traverses an equal distance in less than five seconds.”
The mystique of air attack was dismissed as well: “There seems to be in
the minds of most of us, the idea that there is some especially deadly qual-
ity pertaining to missiles dropped from above. This idea is probably in-
stinctive and is kept alive by accidents which occur from time to time. The
idea is not true of course, but if it were, what of the 2,100 pound [battle-
ship] shell which, when fired at the maximum range as mounted, drops
from a height of 18,700 feet?”
28
The battleship was judged superior to aviation by what Admiral William
Sims used to call “rapidity of hitting” coupled with the greater percentage
of hits from battleship guns.
29
The West Virginia delivered a volume of
carefully aimed fire which amounted to one shell every five seconds.
30
In
peacetime target practice, American battleships successfully hit a relatively
small target about 10 percent of the time at ranges between 19,000 yards
and 20,000 yards. In battle, the navy estimated the rate of hits would be re-
duced to around 3 percent, which, according to reconstructions, was be-
lieved to be the case during the Battle of Jutland in 1916.
31
The reduction
of hits during battle was attributed to “haste, smoke, nerves, et cetera.” The
Board concluded that such factors also would affect adversely the accuracy
of bombing and torpedo fire, reducing its effectiveness from the results
obtained during the “drill and experiment of peace.”
32
Battle drills indicated that a large number of projectiles, whether shells
or aerial bombs, would be required to get hits on enemy ships: “If a battle-
ship fires five hundred 2,100-pound shells in an engagement, she may
count on making fifteen hits.”
33
The Five-Power Treaty had set a ceiling
on aircraft carrier tonnage, and even the large aircraft carriers Lexington
and Saratoga, being converted from the 1916 Program battlecruisers, would
each only carry seventy-two aircraft and not all of these aircraft were
bombers.
34
If the navy built the maximum number of aircraft carriers al-
lowed under the Five-Power Treaty, the total number of aircraft available
at sea would be approximately three hundred.
35
If each one of these air-
craft was a bomber, which was not the case, the number of bombs that
could reach an undefended, motionless battleship would still be less than
the number of shells fired from a single battleship’s guns and the aerial
Technological Change and the United States Navy
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