
able in describing the profession’s intellectual and social dynamics, in-
cluding the pre–World War I conflict between naval engineers and line of-
ficers and also the technologically defined subgroups within the postwar
naval profession: aviators, submariners, and battleship/surface ship sailors.
These could be characterized as lobbies or factions, but Fleck’s definitions
of a thought collective as “a community of persons mutually exchanging
ideas or maintaining intellectual interaction” which provides the “special
‘carrier’ “ for the thought style, the “given stock of knowledge and level of
culture,” are more precise and applicable.
11
It is almost axiomatic that, for a navy, technological and strategic para-
digms are inextricably linked. A profound shift in the technological para-
digm would affect the naval profession significantly. Nevertheless, techno-
logical paradigm shifts typically occur within the framework of the existing
strategic paradigm.
12
In his history of the turbojet, Constant postulated two
types of technological paradigm change. The first was functional failure (in
terms of this study, this would parallel significant military setbacks or de-
feat for a navy) and the hunt for a solution. The second involved techno-
logical co-evolution and the interaction of competing technologies (in this
study, battleships, airplanes, and submarines) within the larger “macro-
system.”
13
I find merit in, and make use of, Constant’s significant conceptualiza-
tion of a “presumptive anomaly” as a useful bridge between scientific and
technological paradigmatic analysis. The naval profession would evaluate
any alternative technology that was presumed to be superior to the existing
technological paradigm (a presumptive anomaly), for example, a navy or-
ganized around aircraft carriers instead of battleships. However, as Con-
stant cogently observed, a “normal technology, even if plagued with prob-
lems, is not easily abandoned.”
14
Adoption of a new technological
paradigm is dependent on “perceived costs, efficiency, and risks . . . the
ease with which the new system can be explained . . . and the extent to
which it can be easily tried.”
15
In addition to these requirements, a new
naval technological paradigm must also serve the prevailing strategic para-
digm and be consonant with the profession’s thought style and warrior
ethos.
Paradigms, presumptive anomalies, thought collectives, and thought
styles all usefully describe an American naval profession that became more
complex and fragmented as its technology became more complicated and
diverse, its strategic philosophy shifted, and the nation it served took on a
Technological Change and the United States Navy
6