The Crisis 63
one-time Egyptian liaison. The Lebanese were also secretly contacted and told
of the terrible explosion liable to erupt if the terrorist attacks continued.
2
Yet none of these responses could substitute for activating at least some re-
serves, Rabin explained. As Egyptian infantry advanced in rapidly increasing num-
bers, Cairo Radio exulted, “our forces are in a complete state of readiness for
war.” Nasser, in a statement released on Palestine Day—a day of mourning
throughout the Arab world, lamenting Israel’s independence—exhorted, “Broth-
ers, it is our duty to prepare for the final battle in Palestine.” While Rabin did not
believe that Nasser wanted war, a momentum was gathering that could seriously
erode Israel’s deterrence power, to the point where the Arabs felt free to attack.
3
That danger seemed to skyrocket between the nights of May 15 and 16.
Initial IDF estimates had put the size of the Egyptian buildup at one division,
the 5th—this in addition to the 30,000 troops already stationed in Sinai and the
10,000 man Palestine Liberation Army division maintained in Gaza. But then
the numbers jumped threefold. The 2nd and 7th Infantry Divisions had also
crossed the Canal, and the 6th Armored was not far behind. Significantly, the
4th Division under the command of Maj. Gen. Sidqi al-Ghul had crossed the
Canal and dug in at Bir al-Thamada. Each of these units comprised 15,000 men,
close to 100 T-54 and T-55 tanks, 150 armored personnel carriers, and a range
of Soviet artillery: howitzers, heavy mortars, Katyusha rockets, SU-100 anti-tank
guns. Along with these forces came vast amounts of ammunition, MiG-17 and
21 fighters, and—IDF intelligence believed—canisters of poison gas.
4
Rabin was baffled. The Egyptian deployment, though still defensive, with
tanks and troops digging in, had surpassed the dimensions of a mere power
display. With the 4th Division on the move and heavy bombers transferred to
the forward base at Bir al-Thamada, the enemy could be preparing to invade
the Negev or to bomb the Dimona reactor. Cairo’s tenor was bellicose—“If
Israel now tries to set the region on fire, then Israel itself will be completely
destroyed in this fire, thus bringing about the end of this aggressive racist base”—
and was duly echoed by Damascus: “The war of liberation will not end except
by Israel’s abolition.” Syrian troops were also reportedly advancing, though
Israel could not match their buildup without then justifying Egypt’s. The IDF’s
hands were tied; al-Fatah could attack at will.
“Israel faces a new situation,” Rabin told the general staff on May 17.
“Nasser never initiates anything—he only reacts and then he gets himself into
trouble as he did in Yemen.” There was a need to transfer troops to the south-
ern border, to bolster the air defenses around Dimona, but to do so quietly,
under darkness if possible. Later, locating Eshkol at a reception for a visiting
African dignitary, Rabin requested the call-up of at least two brigades, as many
as 18,000 men. Eshkol agreed, reluctantly, and advised Rabin to refrain from
provocative rhetoric. “This week has had its fill of threats and warnings,” he
said. For Col. Lior, writing in his diary, the moment was decisive. “It was clear
to all of us that we had reached the point of no return,” he recorded, “The lot
had been cast.”
5