285 / The Edwardian transition
in all three. With its monetary controls now centralised in London, the
Indian economy (and its vital functions) had been brought under closer
imperial supervision. For the white dominions, not only were British
markets and capital indispensable, but close contacts with London were
needed for local businessmen who hoped to expand abroad, invest sur-
plus funds or exploit their expertise in less developed economies. In the
British system, all (or almost all) commercial roads led to London. They
would do for so long as London could play its part in global commerce;
so long as the British economy could produce, consume and invest on
an imperial scale; so long as its chosen partners could maintain their
hectic growth; and so long as Britain was the safest and strongest haven
for foreign money. But, on all these scores, even in the boom years up
to 1914, there was at least some room for doubt.
Some of the symptoms of later weakness were already visible.
For an advanced economy, the British were much too dependent upon
the comparatively simple and labour-intensive technology of textile-
making. They depended too heavily on coal, as an export and as a fuel.
Their rate of saving was low and the failure to invest at home was
reflected in stagnating industrial productivity. As many social critics
complained, too much of the population was paid too little, a con-
sequence of widespread under-employment. This limited consumption
and promoted the migration that remained so marked a feature of
British life. Among Britain’s most dynamic trading partners, there were
signs that the furious expansion of their agrarian economies was level-
ling off: in New Zealand, Canada and Argentina. Nor was the City’s
great role as banker to the world without risk. The American crisis of
1907 had shown that funds that rushed in could also rush out. The
large volume of short-term funds that London attracted were poten-
tially destabilising. Just holding them there might mean interest rates
too high for domestic growth. Above all, perhaps, by relying so much
on the proceeds of global trade, the British had staked their future on a
world without war, or, at least, on a world without world-war. Some
of these anxieties lay behind the campaign for tariff reform in Britain.
Protection was meant to reduce Britain’s over-exposure to external
economic forces. Protectionists like Milner insisted that, in the age of
world-states, cosmopolitanism was dead and its champions deluded. At
the time prosperity helped deflate the protectionist cause. The imperial-
ism of free trade still ruled. Its theory and practice had been the secret of
both Victorian expansion and its Edwardian climax. The implications