
ionosphere but the system accuracy is sensitive to variations in the
total electron content (TEC) in the path between ground and satellite.
The TEC determines the signal propagation delay. TEC variations
occur during geomagnetic storms and these particularly degrade the
accuracy of single-frequency GPS equipment. Geomagnetic storms
also produce ionospheric irregularities and scintillations that occur
both on the dayside and nightside of the Earth.
In practical terms, radio navigational and communication systems
and operators adjust to the prevailing conditions, although accurate
forewarning of solar and geomagnetic activity may be useful for plan-
ning purposes.
Low Earth orbit satellites and space stations (up to around 1000 km
altitude) experience increased air drag during geomagnetic storms.
Enhanced ionospheric currents deposit heat in the atmosphere. This
causes the atmosphere to expand outward and, at a given altitude,
atmospheric density increases. This leads to heightened drag forces,
slowing of satellite velocities, and lowering of orbit altitudes. The
cumulative effect of geomagnetic storms is therefore to reduce the
operational lifetime of satellites, particularly those in low initial orbits,
where air density is higher. High-altitude atmospheric density models
often parameterize geomagnetic heating effects by geomagnetic activ-
ity indices (e.g., Roble, 2001). By predicting geomagnetic indices, on
day-to-day and solar cycle timescales, more efficient use can be made
of satellite fuel supplies, with judicious orbit reboosts used to extend
mission lifetimes. More sophisticated models of the upper atmosphere
are being developed, involving near real-time calibration data from
many orbiting satellites, as well as a better understanding and model-
ing of the physics of the atmosphere and its response to solar and
geomagnetic forcing.
Satellites also suffer increased surface and internal electrical char-
ging from ionized particles during geomagnetic storms. This can result
in system malfunctions as electronic components experience physical
damage and logic errors. Satellite manufactures take the solar cycle
varying radiation environment into account when designing compo-
nents, using statistical models of radiation dosages over component
lifetimes. Modeling of the geomagnetic field morphology and predict-
ing changes in the field (see Main field modeling; Geomagnetic secu-
lar variation) help to map the radiation environment of the Earth and
the response of satellites to that environment. In operation, satellites
can be temporarily powered down or placed in an appropriate “safe
mode” following warnings of solar and geomagnetic activity.
Geophysical exploration and geomagnetic variations
Aeromagnetic surveys are affected by geomagnetic storm variations
(see Crustal magnetic field; Magnetic anomalies for geology and
resources; Aeromagnetic surveying). These cause data interpretation
problems where external field amplitudes are similar to those of the
crustal field in the survey area. Accurate geomagnetic storm warnings,
including an assessment of the magnitude and duration of the storm,
would allow for an economic use of survey equipment.
For economic and other reasons, oil and gas exploration often
involves the directional drilling of well paths many kilometers from
a single wellhead in both the horizontal and vertical directions. Target
reservoirs may only be a few tens to hundreds of meters across and
accurate surveying by gyroscopic methods is expensive since it can
involve the cessation of drilling for a number of hours. An alternative
is to use magnetic referencing while drilling (Clark and Clarke, 2001).
Near real-time magnetic data are used to correct the drilling direction
and nearby magnetic observatories prove vital. There is no drilling
“down-time” during a magnetic storm and storm forecasts are not
normally seen as being important.
Summary and outlook
The geomagnetic hazard to technology results from the strengthening
of magnetospheric and ionospheric current systems by the solar wind
and by CMEs. These electrical current enhancements cause rapid and
high amplitude magnetic variations during geomagnetic storms. Pro-
cesses internal to the magnetosphere also drive variations, particularly
after CME-driven activity. A common theme that emerges from a
study of geomagnetic hazards is a need for accurate geomagnetic
storm forecasting, in terms of onset time and duration, maximum
amplitude, and variation periods. The close connection of geomagnetic
hazard with solar activity and space weather is also clear. Some prac-
tical applications of geomagnetic variations require only monitoring
data, but other applications (will) clearly benefit from a thorough phy-
sical understanding of the Sun-Earth magnetic interaction and, in
particular, accurate prediction of geomagnetic variations.
Alan W.P. Thomson
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