fibrinopeptides evolve hundreds of times faster than histone H. Thus, we see
that molecular clocks based on different genes run at a variety of rates.
Pauling and others saw that the concept of the molecular clock would be
a great boon for evolutionary studies by allowing one to estimate, using solely
molecular data, the point at which two species diverged from a common
ancestor. Given the example of the proteins mentioned above, the molecular
clock predicts that two species differing by in the sequence of that protein
would probably have diverged about million years ago.
Why should the rates of molecular change be more or less the same in
different parts of the evolutionary tree? We know that rates of morphological
change can vary a great deal. For instance, primate morphology seems to
change faster than that of amphibians. Although humans look quite different
from chimpanzees, many species of frogs that diverged much longer ago
than did humans and chimpanzees look very similar to each other. Modern
horseshoe crabs haven’t changed much in morphology from their -
million-year-old fossil relatives.
Kimura’s proposition was that at the molecular level, the vast majority of
new mutations are either deleterious or neutral with respect to selection.
4
Negative selection would quickly weed out the deleterious mutations. Neutral
variants, however, would be subject to chance sampling every generation, a
random process that evolutionary geneticists call genetic drift. Although
nearly all newly arisen, neutral mutations would be lost from the population
after a few generations, a lucky few would rise in frequency. Occasionally, one
very lucky variant would eliminate all others in the population even if it was
no more fit or less fit than the other variants. Evolutionary geneticists refer to
such a variant that rises to frequency as being fixed in the population.
Note that if one genetic variant at a site becomes fixed, all other variants at
that site must have been eliminated. (The terms “fixation” and “substitution”
will be used interchangeably throughout the book.) Advantageous variants
become fixed via natural selection, but the fixation of neutral variants
through the lottery of genetic drift occurs due to chance, not selection.
Most evolutionary biologists, at first, viewed Kimura’s neutral theory with a
great deal of skepticism, if not hostility.
5
To some, Kimura’s ideas seemed to be
counter to Darwin’s and the mainstream evolutionary thought of the s;
indeed, the year after Kimura’s paper appeared, two biochemists, Jack King
and Thomas Jukes, published a proposal similar to Kimura’s with the title
“Non-Darwinian Evolution.”
6
The name “non-Darwinian evolution” for these
ideas dropped out of favor because evolutionary biologists realized that Darwin
himself did not view natural selection as the exclusive means of evolutionary
change and had discussed the role of chance processes in evolution. Kimura’s
term—the neutral theory of molecular evolution—fared much better.
During the s, the leaders in evolutionary biology had focused on
positive selection and adaptation, almost to the complete exclusion of other
evolutionary forces. For example, in Ernst Mayr, one of the domineering
figures in evolutionary biology, wrote that it was “exceedingly unlikely that
any gene will remain selectively neutral for any length of time.”
7
DARWINIAN DETECTIVES