15 IL-2, Helper and Regulatory CD4
C
T Cells 327
in previous sections, is the expected situation in normal immune systems in the
absence of perturbation, treatment or diseases. Thus, the model system is assumed
to be parameterized inside this region before the application of any treatment. Other
parameter regions in Fig. 15.6 could be only reached in the model by perturbations
(like the one induced by long lasting treatments) which modify particular parameter
values, conditioning certain types of responses as result in the system. In particu-
lar, interesting cases could be, (1) Perturbations taking the system into parameter
region label T, which lead to reinforcement or reestablishment of tolerance, since
inside this parameter region only the tolerant state or the reinforced tolerant state
exist and/or are stable; and (2) Perturbations taking the system into parameter re-
gion label I, which unavoidably lead to immune reaction, since in this region the
immune/autoimmune state is the only stable steady state.
Based on the diagrams of Fig. 15.6, the effect of long-lasting treatments modulat-
ing IL-2 activity can be analyzed. It can be seen, that IL-2 depletion treatments have
a strong, dose-dependent impact on the system dynamics, by changing the structure
of possible steady states. This treatment could lead, at intermediate doses (the dose
being assumed proportional to the magnitude of the increment in K
i
d
value), to the
unavoidable reinforcement or reestablishment of tolerance, by taking the system into
parameter region T (see transition p1–p2 in Fig. 15.6a). However, at higher doses
(see transition p1–p3 in Fig. 15.6a) this treatment leads to immunity/autoimmunity,
by taking the system into parameter region I. The latter dependence, is the case
for low values of IL-˛ (transitions p1–p2–p3 in Fig. 15.6a), because for larger
values of IL-˛ the study treatment could only induce immunity, with a direct tran-
sition between parameter regions B and I, without ever passing through region T
(transition p4–p5 in Fig. 15.6a). In sharp contrast to the latter case, treatments in-
creasing IL-2 activity have a negligible impact on the structure of steady states of
the system. They could at most take the system, at high dose, into region B1 (see in
Fig. 15.6b transition p1–p2), where the system remains bistable, with a stable im-
mune state (as in region B) and a stable state of reinforced tolerance (very similar to
the tolerant state of region B,seeFig.15.3c). This result suggests, in practical terms,
that this latter type of treatment would neither break tolerance inducing immunity
nor reestablish tolerance in ongoing immune/autoimmune response. It must likely
further expand the preexistent class of response in the system either tolerance or
immunity.
The bifurcation analysis carried out in this section provides intuition on the po-
tential effect of different treatments in the modelled system. It predicts a strong
impact of IL-2 depletion treatments, which could forcedly take the system into the
tolerant or the immune/autoimmune steady state, depending on the treatment dose
and exact model parameterization (values of IL-˛). It predicts, in contrast, a dis-
crete, rather negligible, effect of IL-2 addition treatments, which most likely left the
system in their starting steady state, either the tolerant or the immune/autoimmune
state. Despite its general value, bifurcation analysis, only give a rough approxima-
tion of the effect of desired treatments. They could hide kinetics effects of treatments
applications and, they only approximate long term effect of treatments that induce
permanent or long lasting change on model parameters. Real treatments, however,
typically induce a transient effect over the system. They transiently affect the value