
EAST AFRICA
ence provided some shelter for producers of coffee and sisal. The
abandonment of the gold standard by Britain in 1931 and by the
USA in 1933 caused the price of gold to rise by two-thirds
between 1931 and 1935: this stimulated the exploitation of East
Africa's scattered deposits and by 1938 gold was the second
largest export from both Kenya and Tanganyika. In some fields,
moreover, the local response to falling export prices was increased
production, which curbed the decline of export
values.
Meanwhile,
some imports became cheaper. Despite imperial preference, East
Africa was prevented by the Congo Basin treaties
15
from discrim-
inating against cheap Japanese manufactures, and these were now
available in large quantities. In the course of the 1930s Japan
captured much of the East African market for cotton and silk
goods, and for the great mass of consumers this was clear gain.
In general, however, import prices fell less sharply than those of
exports. At the same time, the burden of fixed obligations became
relatively much greater than hitherto: on reduced incomes, most
Africans had to pay as much tax as before, while most European
farmers had large debts to service. Governments were in the same
predicament: between 1929 and 1932 their revenues fell on
average by 15 per cent but they too had fixed debt charges to pay,
and also pensions, so there were cut-backs in administration and
social services, while investment in new public works came to a
halt. Financial constraints reinforced the political arguments
against any comprehensive scheme for closer union in East Africa,
though in 1930-1 the mainland governments agreed to increase
protective duties on imports, and in 1933 the postal and telegraph
services were unified in the interests of economy. By 1935 export
prices had revived, and in 1936-7 export values finally surpassed
the highest levels achieved in the 1920s, but this growth was not
sustained. The mood of retrenchment persisted throughout the
decade. In 1940 total government revenue was 14 per cent higher
than in 1929, but this and other resources had to be distributed
among more and more people: the populations of East Africa may
have risen by as much as
14
per cent between 1931 and 1939, when
there were probably 6.5 million in Tanganyika, 4.8 million in
Kenya, 4.2 million in Uganda and 230,000 in Zanzibar.'
6
15
See Lord Hailey, An African
survey
(London, 1958), 1341—3.
16
These are extrapolations from the first East African census of 1948: see D. A. Lury,
'African population estimates: back projections of recent census results',
Economic and
Statistical
Review
(Nairobi), 1965, 16, viii-xii.
688
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