9.2 Sources 325
Compact binaries
Compact binaries – binary neutron stars, binary black holes, and binary black hole-neutron
stars – are probably the most promising sources of gravitational radiation for ground-
based gravitational wave detectors. Very simple estimates of the emitted gravitational
wave signals can be obtained from exercises 9.2, 9.3 and 12.3. More accurate predictions
applicable for close, mildly relativistic orbits require post-Newtonian calculations; see
Appendix E for a brief summary of these calculations. The highly relativistic late inspiral,
plunge and merger phases of the orbit require full numerical simulations for the evolution
and emitted gravitational radiation. Such numerical simulations will be described in detail
in Chapters 12–13 and 15–17.
Compact binaries are known to exist, at least in the case of binary neutron stars. Since
the discovery by Hulse and Taylor (1975) of PSR 1913+16, a binary neutron star system
containing a radio pulsar, a number of similar systems have been identified.
17
While several
of these binaries will coalesce within a Hubble time
18
none have small enough binary
separation to be observable with the current generation of gravitational wave detectors.
However, for some binaries the gravitational wave back-reaction is strong enough for us to
measure its effect on the binary orbit. By monitoring the orbit of PSR 1913+16 by radio
pulsar techniques, Hulse and Taylor were able to confirm for the first time the validity of
equation (9.37) and, hence, the rate at which gravitational radiation carries off energy as
predicted by general relativity in the weak-field, slow-velocity limit.
We can use a statistical analysis based on the known sample of observed binary neutron
stars to estimate the rate of binary neutron star coalescence per Milky Way-type galaxy.
Since this sample is rather small, the estimates are not very rigorous, but presumably they
improve with each new discovery of a binary neutron star system.
19
To date, no binary
black hole or black hole–neutron star system has been discovered, so we cannot perform
such an analysis to estimate their merger rates.
An alternative way of estimating compact binary coalescence rates is to model the
evolution of stellar populations. These “population synthesis” calculations rely on theoret-
ical models for the late stages of stellar evolution and the formation of compact binaries
and have significant uncertainties. Observational constraints can sharpen these population
synthesis estimates, yielding
20
merger rates of binary neutron stars of approximately 10
−5
–
10
−4
per year per Milky Way-type galaxy, 10
−6
–10
−5
for binary black hole-neutron stars,
and 10
−7
–10
−6
for binary black holes. Thus, to have an appreciable detection rate, gravi-
tational wave detectors must be able to observe mergers out to sufficiently large distances
so that the volume they survey contains many galaxies. We shall discuss the sensitivities
of the current generation of detectors in Section 9.3.
17
See, e.g., Stairs (2004)forareview.
18
At least seven such neutron star binaries have been discovered via radio pulsar observations at this time. They are
J0737−3039 (a double pulsar), J1518+4904, B1534+12, J1811−1736, J1829+2456, B1913+16 (the Hulse–Taylor
binary), and B2127+11C; see Stairs (2004).
19
See Burgay et al. (2003).
20
Kalogera et al. (2007).