Austria’s declaration of war against Serbia on July 28, 1914, forced
Lloyd George to confront once again the prospect of Britain’s involvement in a
European war. This time his position was to be much less bellicose and more
ambivalent.
As the country edged towards a war he had not anticipated he was “filled with
horror at the prospect.” It was, as he wrote to his wife, Margaret, as if he were
“moving through a nightmare world.”
6
Many of his countrymen and colleagues
placed him with the noninterventionists in Asquith’s ministry. As chancellor of
the exchequer and second-in-command to Asquith, he was a key figure in the
debate over Britain’s involvement in the war. If Lloyd George chose to resign in
opposition to Britain’s participation, he would almost certainly wreck Asquith’s
ministry and be responsible for a divided government stumbling into war.
But Lloyd George did not attempt to lead a mutiny against his country’s
involvement in the Continental struggle. Cameron Hazlehurst, who has made the
most thorough investigation of the Welshman’s s position on the eve of war,
concludes that “the recollections and contemporary records of those who were
present show conclusively that he neither organized nor directed the thinking of
the waverers.”
7
Still, until Germany rejected the British ultimatum of August 4,
Lloyd George’s colleagues were uncertain of his position. He talked of peace,
resignation, and even of accepting Germany’s violation of Belgian neutrality. On
a map he had traced with his finger the extreme southerly route the Germans might
take through Belgium. “You see,” he explained, “it is only a little bit, and the
Germans will pay for any damage they do.”
8
Lloyd George’s ambiguous statements and understandable hesitancy belie his
true position during the anxious days of early August. Although his heart rebelled
against war, his mind was prepared to accept the consequences of German
aggression.
9
His willingness to fight perhaps is explained by his understanding of
German strategy and the results of British inaction. He had a better appreciation
of the military situation than many of the other members of the cabinet. During
the earlier crisis with Germany in 1911, as we have seen, he had shown a real
understanding of the war plans. More recently, on August 1, 1914, he had been
given a memorandum on the military situation in Europe which had been prepared
for him by the general staff at Winston Churchill’s request. This appreciation of
the strategic situation in Europe had warned: “The German plan of operations is
clearly deducible. The German forces must crush France with as strong and swift
a succession of blows as possible before Russia can assist her, leave some Reserve
troops to hold her, and then turn Eastwards with their main forces to defeat, detach,
or frighten away Russia, with the assistance of Austria.” Furthermore, “there is
reason to suppose that the presence or absence of the British army will determine
the action of the Belgian army. It will very probably decide the fate of France.”
10
On August 2, the evening of the German ultimatum to Belgium demanding the
right of way to invade France, Lloyd George’s mind was fixed on military
developments. While dining at the home of Sir George Riddell, a newspaper
proprietor and his frequent golfing companion, he placed a large official war map
BIRTH OF AN “EASTERNER” 3