astoinvitethesortofset‐piecebattleinwhich,asIpointedouttoAdmiral
MooreronFebruary22,theNorthVietnameseexcelled.IftheSouthVietnamese
continuedtheirdefensivetactics,Iwarned,theymightwellberunoutofLaos.
Asforus,by1971ourcommandinSaigonhadconcentratedfornearlytwo
yearsonpreventingdisasterwhileredeployingforces.Indeed,itwasbeing asked
toreduceitsforcesby60,000whiletheLaosoperationwasgoingon.Itsimply
couldnotadjusttoperformingbothofitsmissions:withdrawalandoffensive
operations.ItremainedsilentwhiletheVietnameseheadquartersforthebattle
remainedinacomfortableper manentbase overfiftymilesfromTchepone.Itdid
notsetupaspecialcommandstructureforwhatwasdescribedtoWashingtonas
a“decisive”operation.ItnevertestedwhetherVietnameseaircontrollerscould
replaceAmericanones;toolatewefoundoutthatmanyoftheVietnamesespoke
noEnglish.TheuntestedVietnamesedivisionswerethusdeprivedofmuchofthe
airsupportonwhichtheoriginalplanhadcountedtocontrolthebattle.With
businessasusual,theLaosoperationhadtocompeteforreso urceswithallthe
otherrequirementsforIndochina.Inevitably,theeffortbecam estalled,andthe
hopesforadecisiveturnwerethwarted.
WitheverypassingdayafterPhaseIIstartedonFebruary8,itbecamemore
obviousthatwhatwastakingplaceresembledtheoriginalplanonlyinthe
briefingsahaplessJCSColonelwasinflictingonmeeverymorning.Theusual
procedurewhenthingsgowrongisto trytoavoidinformingthehighestlevelsof
governmentinthehopethattheproblemwillgoawayandonthetheorythattoo
manyrawfactsmightpanicWashington.Buttheproblemdidnotgoaway.
NothingcouldobscuretherealitythattheSouthVietnameseunits,after
penetratingonlyeighttotwelvemiles,simplystoppedanddugin.Wefoundit
impossibletotellwhattheyweredoing,whethertheywerecuttingsupplyroutes,
searchingforcaches,orsimplyawaitingaNorthVietnameseassault.
Militarycommanders,likemostofficials,tendtodevelopaheavy
investmentintheirownplans.InthefaceofaclearlystalledoperationIwasgiven
anewdateforthepromisedmovementintoTcheponeonsixdifferentoccasions
betweenFebruary8and22. Nonematerialized.OnFebruary13,Ibegantopress
AdmiralMoorerforanassessmentbyGeneralAbramscomparing“actualARVN
troopmovementsandtimephasingwiththoseoriginallyplanned,andreasonsfor
anydeviationstherefrom.”ItwasnotuntilFebruary16thatGeneralAbrams